Gambling Myths: Odds and Risks
After a NZ$200 losing streak on a pokie, the next ordinary spin is no more likely to win. The same logic applies to lottery numbers that haven't appeared for months.
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After a NZ$200 losing streak on a pokie, the next ordinary spin is no more likely to win. The same logic applies to lottery numbers that haven't appeared for months.
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Verdict: False for games with independent random outcomes. The gambler's fallacy treats a losing run as if it creates a debt that the machine must repay.
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New Zealand publishes official figures on gambling expenditure and participation. The figures below name their source and reporting period because administrative expenditure data and survey estimates measure different things.
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People naturally notice patterns and try to explain surprising events. In games with random outcomes, that habit can lead someone to see a streak as a signal, a near-miss as progress or a chosen button as a way to influence a result.
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This page links to public regulations, official statistics and selected technical material used when preparing articles on this site. It is a reading list, not a record of independent testing or verification by MythTV NZ.
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